UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Nov 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

St. Jakob-Park

Switzerland
1 - 1
Serbia

Amdouni (78')
Xhaka (35'), Embolo (51'), Comert (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Terzic (88')
Terzic (25'), Zivkovic (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Nations League clash between Switzerland and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Switzerland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Switzerland 2-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	4	7	10
2	Denmark	4	3	7
3	Serbia	4	-3	4
4	Switzerland	4	-7	1

Serbia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Spain 3-0 Serbia
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	4	7	10
2	Denmark	4	3	7
3	Serbia	4	-3	4
4	Switzerland	4	-7	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Serbia win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Switzerland	Draw	Serbia
47.51% ( 0.12)	25.74% ( -0.03)	26.74% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.09% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.58% (

0.04)

52.41% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.9% (

0.04)

74.09% (

-0.04)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

0.07)

22.06% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

0.11)

55.4% (

-0.12)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.56% (

-0.06)

34.44% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.85% (

-0.06)

71.15% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Switzerland 47.51%

Serbia 26.74%

Draw 25.75%

Switzerland	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 47.51%	1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.75%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26.74%