UEFA Nations League

Nations League | League A

Oct 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Gradski stadion Dubocica

Serbia
2 - 0
Switzerland

Elvedi (45+1' og.), Mitrovic (61')
Nedeljkovic (71'), Simic (85'), Samardzic (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Widmer (23'), Elvedi (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Nations League clash between Serbia and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Denmark 2-0 Serbia
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	2	4	6
2	Spain	2	3	4
3	Serbia	2	-2	1
4	Switzerland	2	-5	0

Switzerland

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Switzerland 1-4 Spain
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Denmark	2	4	6
2	Spain	2	3	4
3	Serbia	2	-2	1
4	Switzerland	2	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Serbia	Draw	Switzerland
30.38% ( -0.01)	26.79% ( -0.01)	42.83% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.36% (

0.04)

54.64% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.03% (

0.03)

75.97% (

-0.03)

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

0.01)

32.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.62% (

0.01)

69.38% (

-0.01)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74% (

0.03)

25.27% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.98% (

0.04)

60.02% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Serbia 30.38%

Switzerland 42.83%

Draw 26.78%

Serbia	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.38%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 42.83%