Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Serbia had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Serbia win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.