Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 at 1.15pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
St Gallen

Lugano
1 - 1
St Gallen

Marques (58')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Geubbels (64')
Okoroji (70'), Csoboth (81'), Gortler (81')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and St Gallen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 2-0 Lugano
Sunday, April 6 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: St Gallen 1-0 Servette
Sunday, April 6 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawSt Gallen
51.5% (-1.563 -1.56)22.83% (0.662 0.66)25.67% (0.902 0.9)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-1.389 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.32% (-2.26 -2.26)40.67% (2.261 2.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.94% (-2.357 -2.36)63.06% (2.357 2.36)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.09% (-1.333 -1.33)15.91% (1.333 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.84% (-2.507 -2.51)45.16% (2.508 2.51)
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.95% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)29.05% (0.519 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.04% (-0.646 -0.65)64.96% (0.646 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 51.5%
    St Gallen 25.67%
    Draw 22.83%
LuganoDrawSt Gallen
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.487 0.49)
2-0 @ 7.81% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.293 -0.29)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.237 -0.24)
4-1 @ 2.72% (-0.271 -0.27)
4-0 @ 2.2% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.194 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.46 0.46)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.62% (0.463 0.46)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 6.49% (0.192 0.19)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.497 0.5)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.26 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.46% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 25.67%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2025 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
St Gallen
2-1
Lugano
Witzig (76', 90+3')
Gortler (31'), Okoroji (52'), Fazliji (90+2')
Koutsias (27')
Koutsias (43'), Papadopoulos (84')
Sep 1, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 6
Lugano
1-1
St Gallen
Przybylko (45+2')
Bottani (34'), Marques (53'), Bislimi (84')
Gortler (19')
Diaby (71'), Toma (84')
May 4, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 34
Lugano
0-1
St Gallen

Grgic (45+1'), Valenzuela (66'), Vonmoos (89')
Witzig (44')
Quintilla (58'), Stanic (85'), Vonmoos (95')
Mar 9, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
St Gallen
2-3
Lugano
Akolo (3'), Geubbels (13')
Witzig (90+6')
Celar (10'), Mahmoud (47'), Bislimi (80')
Grgic (23'), Saipi (45+2')
Jan 28, 2024 1.15pm
Gameweek 20
St Gallen
1-4
Lugano
Stevanovic (68')
Schubert (51'), Ati-Zigi (90+3'), Mambimbi (90+4')
Gortler (5')
Sabbatini (45'), Celar (73', 90+3'), Bislimi (80')
Vladi (6'), El Wafi (47'), Sabbatini (71'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (90+1')