Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 52.81%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.