Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.