Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.53%) and 0-2 (5.42%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
St Gallen	Draw	Basel
36.6% ( -0.02)	23.27% ( 0)	40.13% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 64.21% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.72% (

-0.01)

37.28% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.51% (

-0.01)

59.49% (

0.02)

St Gallen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.31% (

-0.02)

20.69% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.71% (

-0.03)

53.29% (

0.03)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.96% (

19.04% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.38% (

0.01)

50.62% (

-0)

Score Analysis

St Gallen 36.6%

Basel 40.13%

Draw 23.26%

St Gallen	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.6%	1-1 @ 10.29% 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.26%	1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.72% 0-3 @ 3% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.96% 2-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 40.13%