Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.