Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Servette had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.55%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Young Boys in this match.