Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 52.94%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 24.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.