Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 0-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.