Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.