Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 35.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
FC Zurich	Draw	Luzern
35.13% ( -0.15)	24.53% ( -0.08)	40.33% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 59.23% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34% (

0.34)

43.66% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95% (

0.33)

66.05% (

-0.33)

FC Zurich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

0.07)

24.37% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22% (

0.1)

58.77% (

-0.11)

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32% (

0.25)

21.67% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.18% (

0.38)

54.81% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

FC Zurich 35.13%

Luzern 40.33%

Draw 24.53%

FC Zurich	Draw	Luzern
2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 35.13%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.53%	1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.33%