Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Servette would win this match.