Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 49.26%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 27.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Luzern win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.