Swiss Super League Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Georgios Koutsias 50' goal
  • Georgios Koutsias 56' goal
  • yellowcard Alexandre Jankewitz 66'
  • yellowcard Silvan Sidler 72'
  • goal Loic Luthi 85'

Lugano vs FC Winterthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 9, 2025 3.30pm
Sion 2 - 1 Lugano
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Anto Grgic

FC Winterthur

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 5.00pm
Yverdon Sport 2 - 1 Winterthur
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Matteo Di Giusto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result

Lugano 68.81% (-0.69)
Draw 17.95% (+0.35)
FC Winterthur 13.24% (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.91% (-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.57% (-0.80)
Under 2.5 37.43% (+0.80)
Over 3.5 40.35% (-0.86)
Under 3.5 59.65% (+0.87)
Over 4.5 22.42% (-0.70)
Under 4.5 77.58% (+0.70)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 90.12% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 9.87% (+0.38)
Over 1.5 67.26% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 32.74% (+0.88)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5 59.82% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.18% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 23.18% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 76.82% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Lugano 68.8%
Draw 17.95%
FC Winterthur 13.24%
Lugano
2-0 @ 10.63% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 9.19% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 8.21% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 7.48% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 4.75% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 4.33% (-0.13)
3-2 @ 3.41% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.2% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 2.01% (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 68.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.38% (+0.19)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.97% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.95%
FC Winterthur
1-2 @ 3.82% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 3.62% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 1.65% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.16% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 13.24%

Head to Head

Swiss Super League Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2025 7.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion Schutzenwiese
  • Antoine Baroan 6' goal
  • Antoine Baroan 35' goal
  • Luca Zuffi 58' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonios Papadopoulos 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Uran Bislimi 49'
  • goal Yanis Cimignani 52'
  • goal Yanis Cimignani 63'
  • goal Georgios Koutsias 90'+3'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Mattia Croci-Torti 0' yellowcard
  • Antonios Papadopoulos 72' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 73' goal
  • Renato Steffen 82' goal
  • yellowcard Granit Lekaj 56'
  • goal Labinot Bajrami 58'
  • yellowcard Adrian Durrer 86'
  • redcard Granit Lekaj 89'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 36
May 16, 2024 7.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Jonathan Sabbatini 43' goal
  • Uran Bislimi 49' goal
  • Renato Steffen 67' goal
  • Zan Celar 89' goal
  • goal Aldin Turkes 27'
  • goal Nishan Burkart 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Schutzenwiese
  • Randy Schneider 63' goal
  • Remo Arnold 82' yellowcard
  • Aldin Turkes 84' goal
  • goal Yanis Cimignani 48'
  • yellowcard Anto Grgic 58'
  • goal Jhon Espinoza 83'
  • yellowcard Albian Hajdari 87'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 17
Dec 10, 2023 1.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Hadj Mahmoud 16' yellowcard
  • Albian Hajdari 35' yellowcard
  • Renato Steffen 39' goal
  • Allan Arigoni 74' yellowcard
  • Zan Celar 83' goal
  • Kreshnik Hajrizi 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Uran Bislimi 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nishan Burkart 82'
  • yellowcard Tobias Schattin 83'
  • goal Samuel Ballet 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Samir Ramizi 90'+7'
Swiss Super League Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Schutzenwiese
  • Basil Stillhart 31' yellowcard
  • Patrick Rahmen 32' yellowcard
  • Tobias Schattin 62' yellowcard
  • Nishan Burkart 68' goal
  • Alexandre Jankewitz 85' yellowcard
  • Roman Buess 90'+3' goal
  • goal Shkelqim Vladi 22'
  • yellowcard Albian Hajdari 33'
  • yellowcard Roman Macek 49'
  • yellowcard Yanis Cimignani 62'
  • goal Martim Alexandre Costa Marques 70'
  • goal Hadj Mahmoud 73'
  • yellowcard Renato Steffen 83'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Sabbatini 89'