Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 68.81%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 13.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 1-2 (3.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	FC Winterthur
68.81% ( -0.68)	17.95% ( 0.34)	13.24% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 53.91% (

-0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.57% (

-0.79)

37.43% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.35% (

-0.86)

59.65% (

0.86)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.12% (

-0.37)

9.87% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.26% (

-0.88)

32.74% (

0.87)

FC Winterthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.82% (

-0.01)

40.18% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.18% (

-0.01)

76.82% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Lugano 68.8%

FC Winterthur 13.24%

Draw 17.95%

Lugano	Draw	FC Winterthur
2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 8.21% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 4.02% Total : 68.8%	1-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.95%	1-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.65% Total : 13.24%