Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Yverdon Sport win it was 1-0 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
Yverdon Sport	Draw	Lugano
19.84% ( 0.23)	21.98% ( 0.1)	58.17% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 54.77% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.46% (

-0.1)

43.54% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.06% (

-0.09)

65.94% (

0.09)

Yverdon Sport Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.2% (

0.19)

35.81% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.42% (

0.2)

72.58% (

-0.19)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32% (

-0.14)

14.68% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.16% (

-0.27)

42.84% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Yverdon Sport 19.84%

Lugano 58.17%

Draw 21.98%

Yverdon Sport	Draw	Lugano
1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.84% Total : 19.84%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.36% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.05% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.78% Total : 58.17%