Apr 6, 2025 3.30pm

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT St. Jakob-Park (Basel)

Xherdan Shaqiri 12'
Albian Ajeti 33'
Metinho 39'
Xherdan Shaqiri 63'
Marin Soticek 82'

Lars Lukas Mai 45'+2'
Uran Bislimi 87'

Basel vs Lugano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions

W
W
L
D
W
D

Swiss Super League

W
W
L
D
W
D

Last game

Apr 3, 2025 7.30pm

Basel 2 - 1 Grasshopper

Goals scored

91

Top scorer

Xherdan Shaqiri

Lugano

All competitions

W
L
W
W
L
L

Swiss Super League

W
L
W
L
L
L

Last game

Apr 1, 2025 7.30pm

Yverdon Sport 0 - 2 Lugano

Goals scored

55

Top scorer

Anto Grgic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result

Basel 48.26% ▼ (-0.33)

Draw 23.39% ▲ (+0.14)

Lugano 28.35% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score:

60.11% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.86% ▼ (-0.50)

Under 2.5 41.13% ▲ (+0.50)

Over 3.5 36.47% ▼ (-0.51)

Under 3.5 63.53% ▲ (+0.51)

Over 4.5 19.37% ▼ (-0.39)

Under 4.5 80.62% ▲ (+0.39)

Basel Goals

Over 0.5 82.73% ▼ (-0.32)

Under 0.5 17.26% ▲ (+0.31)

Over 1.5 52.41% ▼ (-0.55)

Under 1.5 47.58% ▲ (+0.55)

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5 72.65% ▼ (-0.13)

Under 0.5 27.34% ▲ (+0.12)

Over 1.5 37.2% ▼ (-0.16)

Under 1.5 62.8% ▲ (+0.16)

Score analysis

Basel 48.26%

Draw 23.39%

Lugano 28.35%

Basel

2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.02)

1-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.10)

2-0 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.02)

3-1 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.07)

3-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.04)

3-2 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.06)

4-1 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.06)

4-0 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.04)

4-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 3.99%

Total : 48.26%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.75% ▲ (+0.10)

2-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.03)

0-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.11)

3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.03)

Other @ 0.24%

Total : 23.39%

Lugano

1-2 @ 6.97% ▲ (+0.04)

0-1 @ 6.12% ▲ (+0.12)

0-2 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.07)

1-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)

2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.03)

0-3 @ 1.72% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 3.92%

Total : 28.35%

Head to Head

Jan 19, 2025 3.30pm

2

2

HT : 1 1

FT Stadio di Cornaredo

Anto Grgic 45'+2'
Albian Hajdari 54'
Renato Steffen 57'
Zachary Brault-Guillard 90'+3'

Kevin Carlos 24'
Joe Mendes 28'
Leo Leroy 36'
Dominik Schmid 42'
Moussa Cisse 74'
Xherdan Shaqiri 87'

Jul 27, 2024 7.30pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Leichtathletik-Stadion St. Jakob

Leo Leroy 50'
Leo Leroy 59'

Ignacio Aliseda 8'
Albian Hajdari 53'
Kacper Przybylko 69'

Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Stadio di Cornaredo

Renato Steffen 41'
Albian Hajdari 44'
Roman Macek 52'
Renato Steffen 69'

Mohamed Drager 55'
Dion Kacuri 55'
Jean-Kevin Augustin 64'
Axel Kayombo 66'
Fabian Frei 67'

Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT St. Jakob-Park

Nicolas Vouilloz 64'

Renato Steffen 69'
Milton Valenzuela 72'
Uran Bislimi 81'
Zan Celar 89'

Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm

1

3

HT : 0 1

FT Stadio di Cornaredo

Roman Macek 25'
Renato Steffen 49'
Roman Macek 54'
Shkelqim Vladi 77'
Amir Saipi 89'

Dominik Schmid 18'
Kevin Ruegg 21'
Jonathan Dubasin 29'
Dorde Jovanovic 61'
Mirko Salvi 86'
Renato Veiga 89'
Leon Avdullahu 89'
Leon Avdullahu 89'
Romeo Beney 90'+2'

May 21, 2023 3.30pm

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Andi Zeqiri 34'

Renato Steffen 84'

Form Data

Basel 2 - 1 Grasshopper

Winterthur 0 - 2 Basel

Basel 1 - 2 Young Boys

Luzern 1 - 1 Basel

Basel 2 - 0 Sion

St Gallen 2 - 2 Basel

Yverdon Sport 0 - 2 Lugano

Lugano 0 - 2 Servette

Lugano 2 - 1 Winterthur

Lugano 5 - 4 Celje

Sion 2 - 1 Lugano

Celje 1 - 0 Lugano