Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park (Basel)
Lugano

Basel
2 - 0
Lugano

Shaqiri (63'), Soticek (82')
Shaqiri (12'), Ajeti (33'), Metinho (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lukas Mai (45+2'), Bislimi (87')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Lugano.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

All competitions
Last Game: Basel 2-1 Grasshopper
Thursday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Yverdon Sport 0-2 Lugano
Tuesday, April 1 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 48.26%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawLugano
48.26% (-0.313 -0.31)23.39% (0.138 0.14)28.35% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 60.11% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.86% (-0.518 -0.52)41.13% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.47% (-0.52999999999999 -0.53)63.53% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.73% (-0.31500000000001 -0.32)17.26% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.41% (-0.556 -0.56)47.58% (0.556 0.56)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.65% (-0.145 -0.14)27.34% (0.144 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.2% (-0.186 -0.19)62.8% (0.186 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Basel 48.26%
    Lugano 28.35%
    Draw 23.39%
BaselDrawLugano
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.26% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.59% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 48.26%
1-1 @ 10.75% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.39%
1-2 @ 6.97% (0.036 0.04)
0-1 @ 6.12% (0.119 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.97% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 28.35%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2025 3.30pm
Gameweek 19
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Grgic (45+2' pen.), Hajdari (54')
Steffen (57'), Brault-Guillard (90+3')
Carlos (24'), Shaqiri (87' pen.)
Mendes (28'), Leroy (36'), Schmid (42'), Cisse (74')
Jul 27, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 2
Basel
1-2
Lugano
Leroy (50')
Leroy (59')
Aliseda (8'), Przybylko (69')
Hajdari (53')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Lugano
2-0
Basel
Hajdari (44'), Steffen (69')
Steffen (41'), Macek (52')

Drager (55'), Kacuri (55'), Augustin (64'), Kayombo (66'), Frei (67')
Feb 3, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
Basel
0-1
Lugano

Vouilloz (64')
Steffen (69')
Valenzuela (72'), Bislimi (81'), Celar (89')
Dec 6, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Lugano
1-3
Basel
Macek (54')
Macek (25'), Steffen (49'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (89')
Dubasin (29'), Jovanovic (61'), Beney (90+2')
Schmid (18'), Ruegg (21'), Salvi (86'), Veiga (89'), Avdullahu (89'), Avdullahu (89')