Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 3
Stuttgart

Maehle (50'), Nmecha (83')
Arnold (3'), Baku (22'), Maehle (52')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Guirassy (14', 54' pen.), Vagnomann (77')
Anton (58'), Karazor (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-2 Wolfsburg
Sunday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 1-2 Stuttgart

Despite a minor slip up last week, Stuttgart are still moving clear of those below them in the race for the Champions League and will be favourites against a side with just two wins in 17. With two extremely difficult games ahead on paper against third-placed Stuttgart here, and unbeaten Bayer Leverkusen next, Wolfsburg may find themselves ominously closer to the bottom three in a couple of weeks time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
27.9% ( -0.12)	23.72% ( 0.42)	48.38% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 58.59% (

-1.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.01% (

-2.01)

42.99% (

2.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.61% (

-2.02)

65.39% (

2.03)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-1.12)

28.61% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

-1.42)

64.42% (

1.42)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.07% (

-0.88)

17.93% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.26% (

-1.53)

48.74% (

1.54)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 27.9%

Stuttgart 48.38%

Draw 23.72%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Stuttgart
2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.63% Total : 27.9%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.72%	1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.53) 0-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.67% Total : 48.38%