Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Mainz

Paredes (18')
Wimmer (52'), Majer (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gruda (24'), van den Berg (72'), Burkardt (85')
Jae-sung (12'), Hanche-Olsen (54'), Kohr (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Wolfsburg
Sunday, May 12 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Mainz 05

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 3-0 Dortmund
Saturday, May 11 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Mainz 05

With Wolfsburg more or less having nothing to play for besides a mid-table finish, Mainz should claim a point at the Volkswagen Arena to extend their undefeated run to nine and secure next year's Bundesliga participation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.39%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
54.39% ( 4.96)	22.09% ( -1.28)	23.53% ( -3.68)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.65% (

2.52)

39.34% (

-2.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32% (

2.59)

61.68% (

-2.58)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.53% (

2.63)

14.47% (

-2.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.56% (

4.86)

42.44% (

-4.85)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.96% (

-1.5)

30.04% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

-1.85)

66.16% (

1.85)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 54.39%

Mainz 05 23.53%

Draw 22.08%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Mainz 05
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.68) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.75) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.56) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.55) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.27) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.3) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.28) Other @ 3.23% Total : 54.39%	1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.7) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.53) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.08%	1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.7) 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.89) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.69) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.4) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.34) Other @ 3.03% Total : 23.53%