It is difficult to back against a relentless Leverkusen outfit that will want to wrap up the title at the earliest opportunity so that they can shift their focus to both the Europa League and DFB-Pokal in the latter stages of the campaign.
Union Berlin have largely impressed on home soil in recent months and have not lost any of their last three meetings with Leverkusen in front of their own fans, but celebrating success against the in-form league leaders may be a step too far this time around.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.92%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.
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