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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 52.09%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Burnley |
23.31% ( -0.76) | 24.6% ( -0.41) | 52.09% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% ( 0.95) | 50.58% ( -0.94) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% ( 0.83) | 72.49% ( -0.83) |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.59% ( -0.17) | 36.41% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.8% ( -0.17) | 73.19% ( 0.17) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% ( 0.84) | 19.39% ( -0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% ( 1.37) | 51.2% ( -1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Burnley |
1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 23.31% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 9.6% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.25% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 5.19% ( 0.21) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 52.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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