Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 9

Oct 28, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
6 - 0
FC Koln

Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Red Star
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Sunday, October 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 FC Koln

Koln's maiden victory last weekend has given them a timely boost heading into a tricky encounter with Leipzig, but the Billy Goats will be regarded as the underdogs on Saturday. Die Roten Bullen have been frustrated by Koln in recent meetings, but we believe that their in-form attackers will fire them to a comfortable victory this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	FC Koln
56% ( 0.25)	21.64% ( -0.06)	22.36% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 59.84% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.35% (

0.03)

38.64% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.05% (

0.03)

60.94% (

-0.03)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.27% (

0.09)

13.72% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.02% (

0.17)

40.98% (

-0.17)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

-0.15)

30.64% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

-0.18)

66.88% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 56%

FC Koln 22.36%

Draw 21.64%

RB Leipzig	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.84% 4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.5% Total : 56%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.64%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.85% Total : 22.36%