Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Barcelona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
23.29% ( 0.89) | 24.4% ( 0.03) | 52.31% ( -0.92) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( 0.98) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.22% ( 0.76) | 49.78% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.22% ( 0.68) | 71.78% ( -0.67) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.01% ( 1.26) | 35.99% ( -1.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.23% ( 1.26) | 72.76% ( -1.26) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81% ( -0.07) | 19% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.45% ( -0.11) | 50.55% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.89% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.43% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |