League Two

League Two | Gameweek 33

Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 3
Notts County

Evans (90' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Langstaff (22', 59'), McGoldrick (35')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Walsall 0-3 Newport
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Gillingham
Friday, February 9 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 38.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.1%) and 3-1 (4.79%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Notts County
39.2% ( 0.87)	22.09% ( -0.21)	38.7% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 69.03% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.9% (

1.11)

31.09% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.5% (

1.31)

52.49% (

-1.31)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18% (

0.84)

16.81% (

-0.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.21% (

1.49)

46.78% (

-1.49)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.98% (

0.2)

17.01% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.84% (

0.35)

47.15% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Newport County 39.2%

Notts County 38.7%

Draw 22.09%

Newport County	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.79% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) 4-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.42% Total : 39.2%	1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 8% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) 3-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.34% Total : 38.7%