Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
31.36% ( -0.39) | 24.23% ( -0.26) | 44.41% ( 0.66) |
Both teams to score 59.04% ( 0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.63% ( 1.04) | 43.37% ( -1.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.23% ( 1.02) | 65.77% ( -1.01) |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.52% ( 0.26) | 26.48% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% ( 0.34) | 61.67% ( -0.34) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( 0.72) | 19.7% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.3% ( 1.15) | 51.71% ( -1.15) |
Score Analysis |
Montpellier HSC | Draw | Rennes |
2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 31.36% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.07% Total : 44.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |