Molde's rustiness may be a problem having not played a competitive fixture in almost two months, while the departure of two of their top scorers from last season will leave a gaping hole in attack. Legia have only recently returned to action and are depleted following the January window themselves, but showed good form in the group stage to finish just one point behind Aston Villa, and a win on their return at the weekend will do them the world of good. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 50.2%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	Legia Warsaw
50.2%	22.71% ( -0)	27.09% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.48% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.12% (

0.01)

38.88% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.81% (

0.01)

61.19% (

-0)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29% (

15.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.21% (

44.79% (

-0)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.93% (

27.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.56% (

0.01)

62.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Molde 50.2%

Legia Warsaw 27.09%

Draw 22.7%

Molde	Draw	Legia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.87% 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 3.75% Total : 50.2%	1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3% Total : 27.09%