Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Le Havre |
33.09% ( 0.17) | 26.29% ( 0.02) | 40.62% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.17% ( -0.03) | 51.83% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.41% ( -0.02) | 73.59% ( 0.02) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.47% ( 0.1) | 29.52% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.46% ( 0.12) | 65.54% ( -0.13) |
Le Havre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.85% ( -0.11) | 25.14% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.14% ( -0.16) | 59.85% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Le Havre |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.09% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.52% Total : 40.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 41 | 17 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 56 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 46 |
7 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
9 | Rennes | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 42 |
10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 40 |
11 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 37 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 31 | 9 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 29 |
16 | Metz | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |