Friendlies 1

Jan 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Faisal Al-Husseini International Stadium

Burundi
0 - 4
Algeria

FT(HT: 0-2)

Bounedjah (1'), Mahrez (39'), Slimani (87'), El Amine Amoura (90+3')
El Amine Amoura (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 1 clash between Burundi and Algeria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burundi

All competitions

Last Game: Burundi 1-2 Gabon
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Madagascar	3	3	7
2	Nigeria	3	0	6
3	Guinea	3	1	4
4	Burundi	3	-4	0

Algeria

All competitions

Last Game: Mozambique 0-2 Algeria
Sunday, November 19 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Burkina Faso	0	0	0
2	Angola	0	0	0
3	Algeria	0	0	0
4	Mauritania	0	0	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 52.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Burundi had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Burundi win it was 1-0 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Algeria would win this match.

Result
Burundi	Draw	Algeria
22.94% ( 0.82)	24.27% ( 0.4)	52.79% ( -1.22)

Both teams to score 51.86% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.43% (

-0.8)

49.57% (

0.8)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.4% (

-0.72)

71.59% (

0.72)

Burundi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.81% (

0.33)

36.18% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.03% (

0.33)

72.97% (

-0.33)

Algeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.27% (

-0.76)

18.73% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.89% (

-1.3)

50.1% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

Burundi 22.94%

Algeria 52.79%

Draw 24.27%

Burundi	Draw	Algeria
1-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.85% Total : 22.94%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.31% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.13) 0-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.15) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.18% Total : 52.79%