Copa do Brasil
Athletico PR
Sep 12, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Arena de Baixada
Vasco
  • Tomas Cuello 25' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 25' goal
  • Kaique Rocha 26' yellowcard
  • Kaique Rocha 26' yellowcard
  • Madson 28' yellowcard
  • Madson 28' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 33' goal
  • Bruno Zapelli 33' goal
  • Bruno Zapelli 48' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 48' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Mastriani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Mastriani 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 30'
  • yellowcard Juan Sforza 30'
  • redcard Rayan 42'
  • redcard Rayan 42'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 45'+1'
  • goal Pablo Vegetti 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Souza 69'
  • yellowcard Souza 69'

Athletico Paranaense vs Vasco da Gama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 30, 2024 12.00am
Vasco 2 - 1 Athletico PR

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last game
Aug 30, 2024 12.00am
Vasco 2 - 1 Athletico PR

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.45%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 24.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 50.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 25.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Vasco da Gama 24.49% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.13%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 51.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 26.8% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 73.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 12.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 87.48% ▼ (-0.01)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 79.62% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 47.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 52.79% ▼ (-0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 64.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.56% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 50.45%
Draw 25.06%
Vasco da Gama 24.49%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.6%
2-1 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 2% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 50.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.06%
Vasco da Gama
0-1 @ 7.49% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1%
2-3 @ 1.67% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 24.49%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Vasco
Aug 30, 2024 12.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Nivaldo Pereira
Athletico PR
  • Pablo Vegetti 30' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 30' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 35' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 35' yellowcard
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Jose Luis Rodriguez 80' goal
  • Hugo Moura 90'+3' goal
  • Hugo Moura 90'+3' goal
  • Joao Victor 90'+7' redcard
  • Joao Victor 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Mycael Pontes Moreira 25'
  • yellowcard Mycael Pontes Moreira 25'
  • goal Christian 32'
  • goal Christian 32'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 36'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 36'
  • yellowcard Christian 39'
  • yellowcard Christian 39'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 51'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 51'
  • redcard Lucas Di Yorio 90'+7'
  • redcard Lucas Di Yorio 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Vasco
Aug 27, 2024 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Athletico PR
  • Matheus Carvalho 48' yellowcard
  • Matheus Carvalho 48' yellowcard
  • Emerson Rodriguez 68' goal
  • Emerson Rodriguez 68' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 86' goal
  • Pablo Vegetti 86' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 15'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 15'
  • goal Gabriel 24'
  • goal Gabriel 24'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Machado Cruz 28'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Machado Cruz 28'
  • yellowcard Martin Varini Di Zioli 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Martin Varini Di Zioli 90'+5'
  • redcard Fernando 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Athletico PR
May 5, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
Vasco
  • Erick 26' goal
  • Fernandinho 58' yellowcard
  • redcard Hugo Moura 16'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Athletico PR
Nov 25, 2023 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
Vasco
  • Tomas Cuello 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maicon 54'
  • yellowcard Leo Pele 62'
  • yellowcard Marlon Gomes 75'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 90'+1'
Brasileiro Gameweek 16
Vasco
Jul 23, 2023 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Athletico PR
  • Jose Vitor Geminiano Cavalieri 35' yellowcard
  • Jair 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Carvalho 36'
  • yellowcard Khellven 41'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 58'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 70'
  • goal Christian 71'
  • goal Vitor Bueno 80'
  • redcard Ze Ivaldo 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Athletico PR
Dec 27, 2020 9.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Vasco
  • Nikao 10' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 38' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 61' goal
  • yellowcard Carlinhos 45'+1'

Form Data

Athletico PR 0 - 2 Palmeiras
Vasco 2 - 1 Athletico PR
Vasco 2 - 1 Athletico PR
Belgrano 0 - 2 Athletico PR
Athletico PR 1 - 2 Juventude
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Belgrano
Vitoria 0 - 1 Vasco
Vasco 2 - 1 Athletico PR
Vasco 2 - 1 Athletico PR
Criciuma 2 - 2 Vasco
Vasco 2 - 0 Fluminense
Vasco 1 - 0 Atletico GO