La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 21, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos

Almeria
1 - 2
Villarreal

Lozano (30')
Viera (73'), Ramazani (80')
Ramazani (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Akhomach (25'), Sorloth (90+2')
Akhomach (50'), Coquelin (59'), Jorgensen (62'), Femenia (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Villarreal
Sunday, April 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almeria 1-2 Villarreal

Almeria are seeking a first La Liga success over Villarreal for 14 years, but we are finding it difficult to predict a positive result for the basement side. Villarreal are in excellent form on their travels, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to navigate their way to all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Villarreal
35.28% ( -1.13)	25.08% ( 0.19)	39.63% ( 0.94)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

-0.81)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.82% (

-0.98)

46.17% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.53% (

-0.93)

68.47% (

0.93)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.53% (

-1.09)

25.46% (

1.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71% (

-1.51)

60.29% (

1.51)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.87% (

0.04)

23.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.01% (

0.06)

56.98% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Almeria 35.28%

Villarreal 39.63%

Draw 25.08%

Almeria	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.28%	1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08%	1-2 @ 8.64% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.36) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 4.22% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 39.63%