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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Sociedad logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Sociedad


Guevara (62'), Abqar (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pacheco (59')
Merino (80'), Pacheco (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-2 Real Sociedad

Alaves have impressed this season, and they are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Sunday evening against a Real Sociedad outfit that have had their problems of late. The visitors have won their last two, though, and we are expecting a third straight success for Alguacil's side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
29.2% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 30.12% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 40.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.72% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.75% (0.076999999999998 0.08)66.25% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.24% (0.051 0.05)84.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.95% (0.092000000000006 0.09)40.05% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09)76.7% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.07% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 29.2%
    Real Sociedad 40.68%
    Draw 30.11%
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 12.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.11%
0-1 @ 14.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.68%

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Sociedad

Alaves
19.8%
Draw
18.5%
Real Sociedad
61.7%
81
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Real Sociedad
1-1
Alaves
Zubimendi (90+6')
Zubeldia (45+2'), Fernandez (71'), Traore (74'), Sadiq (90+11'), Oyarzabal (90+7')
Remiro (36')
Rioja (76' pen.)
Rebbach (50'), Omorodion (59'), Sivera (87'), Kike (90+3')
Mar 13, 2022 5.30pm
Jan 2, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Alaves
1-1
Real Sociedad
Joselu (58' pen.)
Laguardia (54'), Mendez (60'), Rioja (90')
Januzaj (14')
Zubeldia (56'), Silva (67'), Januzaj (85')
Feb 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Real Sociedad
4-0
Alaves
Isak (41', 49', 62'), Portu (73')
Merino (51'), Illarramendi (54'), Bautista (85')

Garcia (52'), Pina (61')
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Monday, June 17
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Belgium Belgium00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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