League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 3, 2025 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
1 - 1
Wigan

Fosu (33')
Magloire (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (90+6')
Adeeko (24'), Carragher (31')
Aimson (90+12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crawley 3-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Wigan Athletic
30.92% ( 0.8)	28.57% ( -0.1)	40.51% ( -0.7)

Both teams to score 45.3% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.05% (

0.55)

60.94% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.05% (

0.41)

80.95% (

-0.41)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.24% (

0.91)

35.75% (

-0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.47% (

0.92)

72.52% (

-0.92)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.51% (

-0.13)

29.49% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.5% (

-0.15)

65.5% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 30.92%

Wigan Athletic 40.5%

Draw 28.57%

Northampton Town	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.02% Total : 30.92%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.57%	0-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.52% Total : 40.5%