Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.02%) and 1-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rotherham United would win this match.