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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Northampton Town

Cambridge
1 - 1
Northampton

Brophy (52')
Stevenson (72'), Stokes (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoskins (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Blackpool
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
37.62% (0.152 0.15)28.63% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)33.75% (-0.143 -0.14)
Both teams to score 45.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.37% (0.021000000000001 0.02)60.63% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.28% (0.015000000000001 0.02)80.72% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.104 0.1)31.05% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.64% (0.122 0.12)67.36% (-0.12299999999999 -0.12)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.43% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)33.57% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.79% (-0.096 -0.1)70.21% (0.093999999999994 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 37.61%
    Northampton Town 33.74%
    Draw 28.62%
Cambridge UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.78% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.03% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.78% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 37.61%
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 11.37% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.21% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 33.74%

Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 3pm
Mar 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cambridge
1-1
Northampton
Kachunga (16')
Digby (81')
Guthrie (82')
Brady (82')
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
2-1
Cambridge
Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Northampton
0-2
Cambridge
Okenabirhie (68', 77')
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')