Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.