League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Costelloe (61'), Guinness-Walker (78')
McGeehan (80'), Pinnock (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinclair (46')
Taylor (60'), Wilson (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Wycombe 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
46.39% ( 0.08)	26.82% ( 0.01)	26.8% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 47.99% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.54% (

-0.07)

56.47% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.54% (

-0.05)

77.47% (

0.06)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.68% (

0.01)

24.32% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.29% (

0.01)

58.71% (

-0.01)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.42% (

-0.11)

36.58% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.63% (

-0.11)

73.37% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 46.39%

Bristol Rovers 26.8%

Draw 26.82%

Northampton Town	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 46.39%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.82%	0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 26.8%