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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 14.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 63.15% ( | 21.99% ( | 14.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( | 51.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( | 73.38% ( |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.24% ( | 15.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.12% ( | 44.89% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.36% ( | 46.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.79% ( | 82.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
| 1-0 @ 13.58% ( 2-0 @ 12.54% ( 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 3-0 @ 7.73% ( 3-1 @ 5.89% ( 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 4-1 @ 2.72% ( 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 5-1 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.93% Total : 63.14% | 1-1 @ 10.36% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 2-2 @ 3.65% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 21.99% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0-2 @ 2.14% ( 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 2-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.87% |