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Mansfield Town
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Northampton Town

Mansfield
0 - 1
Northampton


Lewis (28'), Rhodes (49'), Boateng (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McGeehan (55')
Shaw (81'), Perry (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Mansfield Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 3-2 Huddersfield
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 14.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
63.15% (0.012 0.01)21.99% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)14.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.95% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.42% (0.139 0.14)51.58% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.63% (0.121 0.12)73.38% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.24% (0.051999999999992 0.05)15.76% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.12% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.89% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.36% (0.11 0.11)46.64% (-0.108 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.79% (0.084 0.08)82.21% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 63.14%
    Northampton Town 14.87%
    Draw 21.99%
Mansfield TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.25% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 63.14%
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 7.35% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.65% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.99%
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.95% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.87%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Northampton

Mansfield Town
77.5%
Draw
15.0%
Northampton Town
7.5%
40
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
Northampton
0-2
Mansfield
Evans (47'), Lewis (89')
Evans (51'), Cargill (58'), Boateng (67')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Northampton
1-0
Mansfield
Hoskins (28' pen.)
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Mansfield
1-1
Northampton
Swan (84')
Hoskins (88')
May 18, 2022 7.45pm
May 14, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-1
Northampton
Oates (13'), Bowery (32')
Maris (50'), Perch (61')
Koiki (61')
McWilliams (22')