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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 51.91%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.66%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 23.17% ( | 24.92% ( | 51.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( | 51.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( | 73.71% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.68% ( | 37.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.9% ( | 74.09% ( |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.98% | 20.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.79% | 52.2% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 7.36% 2-1 @ 5.84% ( 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-1 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.54% 3-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.69% Total : 23.17% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 12.01% 0-2 @ 9.66% ( 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.18% ( 1-3 @ 5.11% 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0-4 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 2.06% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.74% Total : 51.91% |