Wrexham AFC
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
SToK Cae Ras
Bolton logo

Wrexham
1 - 0
Bolton

Cannon (70')
Cannon (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sheehan (30'), Cogley (68'), Collins (78'), Johnston (90+2')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Quarter-Finals clash between Wrexham and Bolton Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 4-3 Crawley
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Wrexham in this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawBolton Wanderers
38.25%26.76%35%
Both teams to score 51.62%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.55%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03%74.97%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41%62.59%
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.88%29.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96%65.04%
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 38.24%
    Bolton Wanderers 35%
    Draw 26.76%
WrexhamDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.72%
3-1 @ 3.6%
3-0 @ 2.92%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.17%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 38.24%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 7.91%
2-2 @ 5.11%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.77%
1-2 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 6.02%
1-3 @ 3.23%
0-3 @ 2.48%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Bolton

Wrexham
73.3%
Draw
13.3%
Bolton Wanderers
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Aug 18, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 2
Bolton
0-0
Wrexham
Santos (50'), Schon (65')
O'Connor (70')