League One

League One | Gameweek 34

Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 1
Northampton

Cox (87')
Niskanen (69'), Watts (89'), Cole (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Costelloe (42')
Taylor (51'), Costelloe (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Northampton Town has a probability of 30.23% and a draw has a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win is 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.04%).

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
44.37% ( 0.71)	25.39% ( -0.14)	30.23% ( -0.58)

Both teams to score 54.5% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.95% (

0.33)

49.04% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.87% (

0.3)

71.12% (

-0.3)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

0.47)

22.07% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57% (

0.71)

55.42% (

-0.71)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.94% (

-0.23)

30.05% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.81% (

-0.28)

66.18% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 44.37%

Northampton Town 30.23%

Draw 25.38%

Exeter City	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 44.37%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.21% Total : 30.23%