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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.18%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
| 58.83% ( | 24.16% ( | 17.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.36% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.79% ( | 56.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.74% ( | 77.26% ( |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.05% ( | 18.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.53% ( | 50.46% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.5% ( | 46.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.89% ( | 82.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlton Athletic | Draw | Exeter City |
| 1-0 @ 14.65% ( 2-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 3-0 @ 6.76% ( 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 4-0 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.83% Total : 58.81% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 0-0 @ 8.81% ( 2-2 @ 3.57% ( Other @ 0.55% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 2-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.38% Total : 17.01% |