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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Birmingham
1 - 0
Charlton

Stansfield (23')
Iwata (27'), Klarer (35'), Laird (70'), Dowell (73'), Stansfield (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coventry (30'), Gilbert (89'), Docherty (90+1'), Anderson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 4-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCharlton Athletic
61.01% (0.332 0.33)21.8% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)17.18% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.32 -0.32)46.87% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.301 -0.3)69.12% (0.29899999999999 0.3)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77%43.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.547 -0.55)40.74% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.67% (-0.495 -0.5)77.32% (0.494 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 61%
    Charlton Athletic 17.18%
    Draw 21.81%
Birmingham CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 11% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.18%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Charlton

Birmingham City
61.1%
Draw
8.3%
Charlton Athletic
30.6%
36
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Charlton
1-0
Birmingham
Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')

Anderson (31')
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0


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