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League One | Gameweek 32
Feb 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Birmingham
1 - 0
Charlton

Stansfield (23')
Iwata (27'), Klarer (35'), Laird (70'), Dowell (73'), Stansfield (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coventry (30'), Gilbert (89'), Docherty (90+1'), Anderson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Birmingham 4-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 11 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Charlton Athletic

 Following the ease of victory against Cambridge earlier in the week, Birmingham should expect a harder test from in-form Charlton this weekend. The Addicks have a better chance than many of breaking Blues' League One invincibility at St Andrew's, although we feel that the visitors will fall narrowly short in the Second City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Birmingham City in this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCharlton Athletic
61.01% (0.332 0.33) 21.8% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 17.18% (-0.296 -0.3)
Both teams to score 50.44% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.13% (-0.32 -0.32)46.87% (0.32 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.88% (-0.301 -0.3)69.12% (0.29899999999999 0.3)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77%43.22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-0.547 -0.55)40.74% (0.545 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.67% (-0.495 -0.5)77.32% (0.494 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 61%
    Charlton Athletic 17.18%
    Draw 21.81%
Birmingham CityDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.54% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 11% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.99% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.99% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.06% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.44% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 21.81%
0-1 @ 5.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.66% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.44% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 17.18%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Charlton

Birmingham City
61.1%
Draw
8.3%
Charlton Athletic
30.6%
36
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 10
Charlton
1-0
Birmingham
Godden (54')
Ramsay (7'), Coventry (81'), Campbell (85')

Anderson (31')
> Preview
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Gillesphey (6'), Berry (15')
Khela (32')
Anderson (27'), Sanderson (53')
Sanderson (78')
Jul 15, 2020 6pm
Gameweek 44
Birmingham
1-1
Charlton
> Match Report
Sep 14, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Charlton
0-1
Birmingham

Pearce (35')
Bellingham (52')
Davis (82'), Dean (90'), Alvaro (97')
> Match Report
Apr 2, 2016 3pm
Charlton
2-1
Birmingham
Gudmundsson (38'), Teixeira (94')
Diarra (57'), Gudmundsson (82')
Toral (32')
Grounds (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wrexham37218851302171
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe361911661342768
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham36129154042-245
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828
> League One Full Table


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