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League One | Gameweek 11
Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cambridge United

Birmingham
4 - 0
Cambridge

Stansfield (23' pen.), Bennett (39' og.), Dowell (40'), Harris (80')
Laird (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Bishop (57'), Gibbons (84'), Njoku (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Newcastle
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Birmingham City 3-1 Cambridge United

These two sides are at complete opposite ends of the table heading into the game, leaving Birmingham as major favourites to secure the win, and we expect the hosts to comfortably take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCambridge United
71.67% (-6.708 -6.71) 18% (3.003 3) 10.33% (3.711 3.71)
Both teams to score 44.01% (6.513 6.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.55% (-0.838 -0.84)45.45% (0.846 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (-0.805 -0.81)67.78% (0.813 0.81)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (-1.934 -1.93)11.33% (1.941 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.99% (-4.399 -4.4)36.01% (4.407 4.41)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.64% (8.251 8.25)50.37% (-8.243 -8.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.09% (5.018 5.02)84.91% (-5.01 -5.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 71.66%
    Cambridge United 10.34%
    Draw 18%
Birmingham CityDrawCambridge United
2-0 @ 13.53% (-1.86 -1.86)
1-0 @ 12.42% (-0.6 -0.6)
3-0 @ 9.82% (-2.319 -2.32)
2-1 @ 9.28% (1.054 1.05)
3-1 @ 6.74% (0.25 0.25)
4-0 @ 5.35% (-1.833 -1.83)
4-1 @ 3.67% (-0.169 -0.17)
5-0 @ 2.33% (-1.068 -1.07)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.577 0.58)
5-1 @ 1.6% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.233 0.23)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 71.66%
1-1 @ 8.53% (1.569 1.57)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.203 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.985 0.99)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 18%
0-1 @ 3.92% (0.974 0.97)
1-2 @ 2.92% (1.066 1.07)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.557 0.56)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 10.34%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cambridge

Birmingham City
83.0%
Draw
9.4%
Cambridge United
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
Aug 12, 2014 7.45pm
Round One
Birmingham
3-1
Cambridge
Donaldson (16'), Caddis (96'), Duffy (106')
Davis (65')
Donaldson (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
3Wrexham37218851302171
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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