League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Feb 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
4 - 0
Cambridge

Stansfield (23' pen.), Bennett (39' og.), Dowell (40'), Harris (80')
Laird (90+4')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Bishop (57'), Gibbons (84'), Njoku (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 2-3 Newcastle
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 10.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Cambridge United
71.67% ( -6.71)	18% ( 3)	10.33% ( 3.71)

Both teams to score 44.01% (

6.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.55% (

-0.84)

45.45% (

0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.22% (

-0.81)

67.78% (

0.81)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.67% (

-1.93)

11.33% (

1.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.99% (

-4.4)

36.01% (

4.41)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.64% (

8.25)

50.37% (

-8.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.09% (

5.02)

84.91% (

-5.01)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 71.66%

Cambridge United 10.34%

Draw 18%

Birmingham City	Draw	Cambridge United
2-0 @ 13.53% ( -1.86) 1-0 @ 12.42% ( -0.6) 3-0 @ 9.82% ( -2.32) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 1.05) 3-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.25) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( -1.83) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 2.33% ( -1.07) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.58) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.23) Other @ 3.37% Total : 71.66%	1-1 @ 8.53% ( 1.57) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.99) Other @ 0.58% Total : 18%	0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.97) 1-2 @ 2.92% ( 1.07) 0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.56) Other @ 2.15% Total : 10.34%