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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 10.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.42%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
Result | ||
Birmingham City | Draw | Cambridge United |
71.67% (![]() | 18% (![]() | 10.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.55% (![]() | 45.45% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.22% (![]() | 67.78% (![]() |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.67% (![]() | 11.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.99% (![]() | 36.01% (![]() |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.64% (![]() | 50.37% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.09% (![]() | 84.91% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Birmingham City | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 13.53% (![]() 1-0 @ 12.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.82% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.37% Total : 71.66% | 1-1 @ 8.53% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.71% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.58% Total : 18% | 0-1 @ 3.92% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 2.15% Total : 10.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 36 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 83 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 37 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 71 |
3 | Wrexham | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 71 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 66 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 65 |
6 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 61 |
7 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 60 |
8 | Reading | 37 | 16 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 59 |
9 | Leyton Orient | 37 | 17 | 5 | 15 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 56 |
10 | Barnsley | 37 | 15 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Blackpool | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 51 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 53 | 45 | 8 | 49 |
13 | Stevenage | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 49 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 45 |
15 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 44 |
16 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 44 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 43 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 42 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 37 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 42 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 6 | 19 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 42 |
21 | Burton Albion | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 36 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 37 | 7 | 9 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 30 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 35 | 61 | -26 | 29 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 28 |
> League One Full Table |