League One Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Dara Costelloe 68' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 78' goal
  • goal Davis Keillor-Dunn 36'
  • goal Davis Keillor-Dunn 59'
  • yellowcard Stephen Humphrys 73'
  • yellowcard Josh Earl 76'
  • yellowcard Kelechi Nwakali 86'
  • yellowcard Kelechi Nwakali 86'
  • redcard Mael Durand de Gevigney 87'

Northampton Town vs Barnsley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
Northampton 2 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Cameron McGeehan

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 12.30pm
Rotherham 0 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Davis Keillor-Dunn

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result

Northampton Town 27.68% (+0.19)
Draw 25% (+0.33)
Barnsley 47.32% (-0.52)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.14% (-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.23% (-1.27)
Under 2.5 48.76% (+1.26)
Over 3.5 29.13% (-1.16)
Under 3.5 70.87% (+1.15)
Over 4.5 14.07% (-0.80)
Under 4.5 85.92% (+0.79)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 68.23% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 31.77% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 31.8% (-0.60)
Under 1.5 68.2% (+0.60)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 79.35% (-0.73)
Under 0.5 20.64% (+0.72)
Over 1.5 46.78% (-1.16)
Under 1.5 53.21% (+1.15)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 27.68%
Draw 24.99%
Barnsley 47.31%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 7.52% (+0.28)
2-1 @ 6.8% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.31% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.05% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 1.65% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% (+0.18)
0-0 @ 6.56% (+0.34)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.99%
Barnsley
0-1 @ 10.34% (+0.31)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 8.16% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 47.31%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Max Watters 26' goal
  • Adam Phillips 46' goal
  • Josh Earl 62' yellowcard
  • Kyran Lofthouse 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Liam McCarron 73'
  • goal Jack Baldwin 78'
League One Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Herbie Kane 18' goal
  • Mael Durand de Gevigney 21' yellowcard
  • Corey O'Keeffe 43' yellowcard
  • Herbie Kane 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 90'+5'
  • goal Louis Appere 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Louis Appere 90'+8' goal
  • goal Callum Styles 4'
  • yellowcard Adam Phillips 12'
  • yellowcard Corey O'Keeffe 50'
  • yellowcard Kacper Lopata 59'
  • yellowcard Jamie McCart 82'
  • goal Devante Cole 88'
EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2016 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Josh Scowen 21' goal
  • yellowcard Alfie Potter 46'
  • goal Adam Davies 52' (OG)
  • yellowcard Aaron Phillips 75'
  • yellowcard John-Joe O'Toole 81'
  • goal John-Joe O'Toole 114'

Build-up

Match Preview