League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
1 - 2
Barnsley

Hoskins (78')
Costelloe (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Keillor-Dunn (36', 59')
Humphrys (73'), Earl (76'), Nwakali (86'), Nwakali (86')
Durand de Gevigney (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 22 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Barnsley
27.68% ( 0.18)	25% ( 0.32)	47.32% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 54.14% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.23% (

-1.26)

48.76% (

1.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.13% (

-1.16)

70.87% (

1.15)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.23% (

-0.52)

31.77% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.8% (

-0.6)

68.2% (

0.59)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.35% (

-0.73)

20.64% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.78% (

-1.16)

53.21% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 27.68%

Barnsley 47.31%

Draw 24.99%

Northampton Town	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.68%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.33) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.16% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.31%