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Leyton Orient
League One | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
Northampton Town

Leyton Orient
1 - 2
Northampton

Kelman (60')
Simpson (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
T (11'), McGeehan (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Leyton Orient and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rotherham 1-0 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-1 Stockport
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
56.59% (-0.364 -0.36)24.6% (0.144 0.14)18.81% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.18% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (-0.249 -0.25)55.46% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (-0.203 -0.2)76.65% (0.206 0.21)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.49% (-0.236 -0.24)19.52% (0.238 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.6% (-0.387 -0.39)51.41% (0.389 0.39)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.14% (0.113 0.11)43.86% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (0.091000000000001 0.09)80.01% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 56.58%
    Northampton Town 18.81%
    Draw 24.59%
Leyton OrientDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.98% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.22% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 5.13% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.54% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 56.58%
1-1 @ 11.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 7.06% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.75% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.91% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 18.81%

How you voted: Leyton Orient vs Northampton

Leyton Orient
58.3%
Draw
25.0%
Northampton Town
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Northampton
1-0
Leyton Orient
McGeehan (48')
Baldwin (55'), Pinnock (84'), Guthrie (90+3')

Galbraith (10'), Agyei (35'), James (56')
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Leyton Orient
4-3
Northampton
O'Neill (35'), Forde (58'), Sotiriou (80', 90+7')
El Mizouni (21'), Brown (41')
Leonard (45+1'), Bowie (77'), Simpson (83')
Brady (22'), Gape (31'), Guthrie (90+6')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
2-2
Leyton Orient
Hoskins (49', 52' pen.)
Burge (81')
Bowie (58')
Hunt (14'), Forde (90+6')
Happe (10'), Cooper (19'), Turns (90+7')
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0


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