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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 16.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 61.41% | 22.29% | 16.3% |
| Both teams to score 47.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.67% | 50.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.72% | 72.27% |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.09% | 15.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.84% | 45.16% |
| Leyton Orient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.07% | 43.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.94% | 80.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Leyton Orient |
| 1-0 @ 12.84% 2-0 @ 11.8% 2-1 @ 9.71% 3-0 @ 7.23% 3-1 @ 5.95% 4-0 @ 3.32% 4-1 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.45% 5-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2% Total : 61.4% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.74% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.75% 1-2 @ 4.35% 0-2 @ 2.37% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.54% Total : 16.3% |