League One Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 53' goal
  • Taylor Gardner-Hickman 54' yellowcard
  • Ethan Laird 84' goal
  • redcard Jack Currie 12'
  • yellowcard Darren Pratley 90'

Birmingham City vs Leyton Orient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 12.30pm
Reading 0 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Leyton Orient

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Charlie Kelman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Birmingham City 61.41% (-0.10)
Draw 22.29% (+0.03)
Leyton Orient 16.3% (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.15% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.67% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 50.33% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 27.72% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 72.27% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 13.13% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 86.87% (-0.01)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 84.09% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 15.91% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 54.84% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 45.16% (+0.06)

Leyton Orient Goals

Over 0.5 56.07% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 43.92% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 19.94% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 80.06% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 61.4%
Draw 22.29%
Leyton Orient 16.3%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 12.84% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 11.8% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.71% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.95% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.32% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.74% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 61.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.57% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.99% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 22.29%
Leyton Orient
0-1 @ 5.75% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.35% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 16.3%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Brisbane Road
  • Ethan Galbraith 14' goal
  • Ethan Galbraith 14' goal
  • Richard Wellens 24' yellowcard
  • Richard Wellens 24' yellowcard
  • Zech Obiero 45' yellowcard
  • Zech Obiero 45' yellowcard
  • Oliver O'Neill 52' yellowcard
  • Oliver O'Neill 52' yellowcard
  • goal Keshi Anderson 7'
  • goal Keshi Anderson 7'
  • goal Alfie May 20'
  • goal Alfie May 20'
  • yellowcard Ethan Laird 23'
  • yellowcard Ethan Laird 23'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 51'
  • yellowcard Christoph Klarer 51'