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EFL Trophy | Semi-Finals
Feb 18, 2025 at 8.10pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Bradford City

Birmingham
2 - 1
Bradford

Stansfield (45+3'), Dykes (88')
Cochrane (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pointon (52')
Halliday (5'), Wright (45+2'), Smallwood (90+6')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Semi-Finals clash between Birmingham City and Bradford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League One

Bradford City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Newport 0-0 Bradford
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawBradford City
60.01% (1.398 1.4)22.82% (-0.651 -0.65)17.17% (-0.745 -0.75)
Both teams to score 47.34% (0.517 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.99% (1.432 1.43)51.01% (-1.431 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.12% (1.245 1.25)72.88% (-1.242 -1.24)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (1.008 1.01)16.62% (-1.006 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (1.774 1.77)46.45% (-1.774 -1.77)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.78% (-0.067 -0.07)43.22% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.53% (-0.055 -0.05)79.47% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 60%
    Bradford City 17.17%
    Draw 22.81%
Birmingham CityDrawBradford City
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 11.56% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 6.92% (0.289 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.232 0.23)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.227 0.23)
4-1 @ 2.6% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.115 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.076 0.08)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.095 0.1)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 60%
1-1 @ 10.81% (-0.28 -0.28)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.422 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.366 -0.37)
1-2 @ 4.54% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.27% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 17.17%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Bradford

Birmingham City
91.3%
Draw
6.5%
Bradford City
2.2%
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