Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Reading had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 19.85% ( | 23.27% ( | 56.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.98% ( | 49.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.9% ( | 71.1% ( |
| Reading Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.04% ( | 38.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.32% ( | 75.68% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.99% ( | 17.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.86% ( | 47.14% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reading | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 6.25% ( 2-1 @ 5.22% ( 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-1 @ 1.64% ( 3-2 @ 1.45% 3-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.42% Total : 19.85% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( 0-2 @ 10.39% 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0-3 @ 6.14% ( 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 1-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.94% Total : 56.87% |