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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 15.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 15.65% ( | 22% ( | 62.34% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.73% ( | 50.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.78% ( | 72.22% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.25% ( | 44.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.27% ( | 80.73% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.41% ( | 15.58% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.45% ( | 44.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 1-0 @ 5.61% 2-1 @ 4.19% ( 2-0 @ 2.25% ( 3-1 @ 1.12% ( 3-2 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 15.65% | 1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 3.9% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 12.96% 0-2 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 9.69% 0-3 @ 7.47% ( 1-3 @ 6% 0-4 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.12% 1-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.33% |