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League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Birmingham logo

Northampton
1 - 1
Birmingham

Iwata (17' og.)
Burge (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Anderson (45+2')
Stansfield (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Northampton
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Stevenage
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawBirmingham City
15.65% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)22% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 46.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)50.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)72.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.25% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.75% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)80.73% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.41% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)15.58% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)44.55% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 15.65%
    Birmingham City 62.33%
    Draw 22%
Northampton TownDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 5.61%
2-1 @ 4.19% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 15.65%
1-1 @ 10.42%
0-0 @ 6.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 12.04%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-3 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 6%
0-4 @ 3.47%
1-4 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-5 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.12%
1-5 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 62.33%

How you voted: Northampton vs Birmingham

Northampton Town
18.8%
Draw
6.3%
Birmingham City
75.0%
16
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 15
Birmingham
1-1
Northampton
Stansfield (58')
Allsop (90+2')
Pinnock (90+6')
Guthrie (41'), McGeehan (60'), Allsop (90+1')
Jul 19, 2023 7.45pm
Club Friendlies
Northampton
0-1
Birmingham
James (31')
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
3-2
Birmingham
Pinnock (12'), Kabamba (23'), Chukwuemeka (68')
Sanchez (2'), Jutkiewicz (38')
Jul 21, 2015 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Northampton
2-2
Birmingham
Adams (45', 59')
Gray (3'), Novak (68')
rhs 2.0


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