League One Gameweek 16
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Andrew's Stadium
  • Kieran Dowell 27' goal
  • Paik Seung-ho 47' goal
  • Tomoki Iwata 61' yellowcard
  • Jay Stansfield 64' yellowcard
  • Alex Cochrane 90' yellowcard
  • Ryan Allsop 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Phillips 90'
  • goal Jake Young 90'+4'

Birmingham City vs Stevenage - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Birmingham 1 - 0 Lincoln
Goals scored
84
Top scorer
Jay Stansfield

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 1 Mansfield
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Dan Kemp

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result

Birmingham City 63.27% (-0.07)
Draw 22.96% (-0.02)
Stevenage 13.76% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.84% (+0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.92% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 57.08% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 22.04% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 77.96% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 9.54% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 90.46% (-0.09)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5 82.35% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 17.65% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 51.74% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 48.26% (-0.07)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5 48.38% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 51.62% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 14.25% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 85.75% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Birmingham City 63.27%
Draw 22.96%
Stevenage 13.76%
Birmingham City
1-0 @ 15.8% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 13.7% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.06% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 7.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.24% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 3.44% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 63.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.96%
Stevenage
0-1 @ 6.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.46% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 13.76%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Louis Thompson 59' yellowcard
  • Carl Piergianni 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomoki Iwata 78'
  • goal Jay Stansfield 83'
  • yellowcard Jay Stansfield 84'