Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.