League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

St. Andrew's Stadium

Birmingham
2 - 1
Stevenage

Dowell (27' pen.), Seung-ho (47')
Iwata (61'), Stansfield (64'), Cochrane (90'), Allsop (90')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Young (90+4')
Phillips (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Birmingham City and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Birmingham City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Lincoln
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Mansfield
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 63.27%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Stevenage win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham City	Draw	Stevenage
63.27% ( -0.07)	22.96% ( -0.01)	13.76% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 39.84% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.92% (

0.19)

57.08% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.04% (

0.15)

77.96% (

-0.15)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.35% (

0.04)

17.65% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.74% (

0.07)

48.26% (

-0.07)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.38% (

0.25)

51.62% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.25% (

0.16)

85.75% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Birmingham City 63.27%

Stevenage 13.76%

Draw 22.96%

Birmingham City	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 15.8% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 13.7% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.91% Total : 63.27%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.96%	0-1 @ 6.02% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 13.76%