Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stevenage in this match.